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    <title>Ironic-Process-Theory on Sebastian Spicker</title>
    <link>https://sebastianspicker.github.io/tags/ironic-process-theory/</link>
    <description>Recent content in Ironic-Process-Theory on Sebastian Spicker</description>
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      <title>Try to Relax — and Other Things That Prevent Themselves</title>
      <link>https://sebastianspicker.github.io/posts/try-to-relax-ironic-process-wormholes/</link>
      <pubDate>Thu, 15 Jan 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <guid>https://sebastianspicker.github.io/posts/try-to-relax-ironic-process-wormholes/</guid>
      <description>&amp;ldquo;Try to relax&amp;rdquo; is a paradox with a precise psychological mechanism. So is the traversable wormhole: the geometry you need to cross spacetime closes the moment you try to use it. The grandfather paradox, Wegner&amp;rsquo;s ironic monitoring process, and Rick Sanchez&amp;rsquo;s nihilism problem all share the same deep structure — and understanding that structure is more interesting than any of the individual cases.</description>
      <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Someone, at some point in your life, has told you to relax. They may have
specified that you should <em>try</em> to relax — as though relaxation were an
effortful goal you could pursue with sufficient will. If you have ever
received this advice and found it made things worse, you were not imagining
it. You were experiencing a phenomenon with a name, a precise mechanism,
and — it turns out — a surprising structural analogue in the geometry of
spacetime.</p>
<hr>
<h2 id="the-ironic-process">The Ironic Process</h2>
<p>In 1994, the social psychologist Daniel Wegner published a paper that
formalised what most people already suspected: trying not to think of
something makes you think of it more <a href="#ref-1">[1]</a>. The theoretical
model behind this has two components.</p>
<p>The first is an <strong>operating process</strong>: it actively generates mental content
consistent with the intended state. You are trying to relax — the operating
process searches for calming thoughts, slows your attention, tries to find
the mood.</p>
<p>The second is a <strong>monitoring process</strong>: it runs in parallel, searching for
evidence that the goal has <em>not</em> been achieved. Am I relaxed yet? No.
Checking again. Still no. Its function is to detect failure early so the
operating process can correct course.</p>
<p>Under normal conditions, the operating process dominates. You try to relax,
the monitor runs quietly in the background, and eventually you converge on
the intended state. Under conditions of cognitive load, stress, or
self-consciousness — precisely the conditions under which someone might
urgently need to relax — the balance shifts. The monitoring process,
searching for signs of not-relaxing, finds them everywhere. The monitor
activates the very content it is supposed to prevent. The harder you try,
the louder the monitor, the further from the goal.</p>
<p>This is Wegner&rsquo;s ironic process: the mechanism recruited to achieve a goal
becomes the primary obstacle to that goal. It is not failure of will. It
is a structural property of the system — and it applies to any goal whose
target state is the <em>absence</em> of effortful activity. Trying to fall asleep.
Trying not to feel anxious about a performance. Trying to be spontaneous.
Trying, in the most purely paradoxical formulation, to relax.</p>
<p>The instruction &ldquo;try to relax&rdquo; is not bad advice because the advice-giver
lacks empathy. It is bad advice because it is a <em>category error</em>: it applies
an effort-based tool to a goal defined by the absence of effort. The
monitoring process required to track progress toward the goal is precisely
the kind of activity that constitutes not having reached it.</p>
<hr>
<h2 id="a-geometry-that-does-the-same-thing">A Geometry That Does the Same Thing</h2>
<p>The analogy I want to draw requires a brief detour into general relativity.</p>
<p>In 1988, Michael Morris and Kip Thorne published a paper with the
unpromising title &ldquo;Wormholes in spacetime and their use for interstellar
travel: A tool for teaching general relativity&rdquo; <a href="#ref-2">[2]</a>.
It is, in the field&rsquo;s understated way, one of the more consequential papers
in the subject. Morris and Thorne asked: what would a traversable wormhole —
one you could actually pass through — require, physically and mathematically?</p>
<p>The spacetime metric of a traversable wormhole in their formulation is:</p>
$$ds^2 = -e^{2\Phi(r)}\,dt^2 + \frac{dr^2}{1 - b(r)/r} + r^2\,d\Omega^2$$<p>where $\Phi(r)$ is the redshift function and $b(r)$ is the shape function.
The throat of the wormhole sits at $r = r_0$, where $b(r_0) = r_0$.
For anything to pass through in finite proper time, $\Phi$ must remain
finite — no infinite redshift — and $b(r)/r$ must remain less than one
away from the throat.</p>
<p>So far this is just geometry. The physics enters through the Einstein field
equations, which connect the geometry to the matter and energy present.
To maintain the wormhole throat against collapse — to hold it open — the
stress-energy tensor of whatever matter fills the throat must satisfy:</p>
$$T_{\mu\nu}\, k^\mu k^\nu < 0$$<p>for null vectors $k^\mu$ — what is called a <em>violation of the null energy
condition</em>. In plain terms: the matter holding the wormhole open must have
negative energy density. Not small energy density. <em>Negative</em> — less than
nothing.</p>
<p>This is exotic matter. It does not appear in any tabletop experiment.
Classical general relativity does not rule it out, but it does not provide
it either.</p>
<p>Quantum mechanics is slightly more helpful: the Casimir effect produces
measurable negative energy density between closely spaced conducting plates.
The Hawking radiation calculation involves transient negative energy near
black hole horizons. So quantum field theory permits negative energy — in
principle. But Ford and Roman <a href="#ref-3">[3]</a> showed that quantum field theory also
strictly <em>limits</em> it: the integrated negative energy over any region is
bounded by a quantum inequality. The shorter the burst of negative energy,
the smaller it must be; the larger the region, the more constrained the
magnitude. The result is that any realistic traversable wormhole would be
either Planck-scale (far too small for anything but quantum information to
traverse) or would require negative energy concentrated in a band many
orders of magnitude thinner than the throat itself — an engineering
requirement that borders on the physically absurd.</p>
<p>The wormhole, in other words, does something structurally similar to the
monitoring process in Wegner&rsquo;s model: the condition required to make it
traversable actively resists being satisfied. The geometry that would allow
passage tends toward collapse. The more you want the wormhole to be open
and stable, the more the energy conditions conspire against you.</p>
<hr>
<h2 id="what-the-2022-wormhole-actually-was">What the 2022 &ldquo;Wormhole&rdquo; Actually Was</h2>
<p>In late 2022, a team including Daniel Jafferis, Alexander Zlokapa, and
colleagues at Caltech and Google published a paper in <em>Nature</em> with the
title &ldquo;Traversable wormhole dynamics on a quantum processor&rdquo; <a href="#ref-4">[4]</a>. Several major news outlets reported that scientists had
created a wormhole. This was not accurate.</p>
<p>What the team actually did was implement a quantum circuit on Google&rsquo;s
Sycamore processor that simulates the Sachdev-Ye-Kitaev (SYK) model —
a quantum mechanical system of randomly interacting fermions that is
holographically dual, via Maldacena&rsquo;s AdS/CFT correspondence, to a
nearly two-dimensional anti-de Sitter black hole geometry. Two coupled
SYK systems are dual to a two-sided eternal black hole, which is connected
in the bulk by an Einstein-Rosen bridge — a wormhole.</p>
<p>By coupling the two systems with a specific negative coupling (which
corresponds, via ER=EPR, to injecting negative energy into the wormhole),
the team made the bridge traversable in the holographic sense: information
encoded in one quantum system propagated and was recovered in the other,
consistent with traversal of the dual gravitational wormhole.</p>
<p>This is genuinely interesting physics. It is not a wormhole through our
spacetime. The wormhole lives in the holographic dual geometry — a
mathematical construct in a lower-dimensional theory of gravity, not a
tunnel between two points in the universe you inhabit. Quantum teleportation
occurred on a quantum chip via the ordinary mechanism of quantum
entanglement. The gravitational language is a description of the
same physics in a dual frame, not a shortcut through space.</p>
<p>The media confusion is itself instructive: &ldquo;wormhole&rdquo; has drifted far from
its original meaning. In current physics, the word can refer to a
Morris-Thorne traversable tunnel through spacetime, to the Einstein-Rosen
bridge of an eternal black hole, to a holographic dual of quantum
entanglement <a href="#ref-5">[5]</a>, or to saddle points in the
Euclidean gravitational path integral relevant to the black hole information
paradox. These are related by mathematics but quite different in what they
physically represent. None of the last three are traversable shortcuts
through the universe. The first is, in principle, but barely, and only at
the cost of exotic matter physics that nobody knows how to achieve.</p>
<p>The harder physicists have worked to make the wormhole genuinely traversable
and macroscopic, the more the mathematics has resisted. This is, at minimum,
a suggestive pattern.</p>
<hr>
<h2 id="what-2025-added">What 2025 Added</h2>
<p>The field did not stand still after 2022. Three independent lines of work
published in 2024 and 2025 have further complicated what a wormhole is —
and in each case the complication pushes in the same direction: the geometry
keeps refusing to be a shortcut.</p>
<p><strong>The wormhole that does not connect two things.</strong> Maloney, Meruliya, and Van Raamsdonk <a href="#ref-7">[7]</a> showed that Euclidean wormholes — saddle points in
the gravitational path integral — appear generically in ordinary
higher-dimensional gravity, without any special setup. The striking
implication is that these wormholes do not bridge two separate universes
or two separate theories; they encode statistical fluctuations <em>within a
single theory</em>. The replica wormholes that resolved the Page curve for
black hole radiation — one of the central recent results in the black hole
information paradox — are of this type. The wormhole is not a connection
between two things. It is a feature of how the theory sums over histories,
a bookkeeping structure for correlations within one system. The physical
picture of two mouths joined by a throat does not apply.</p>
<p><strong>The wormhole that is not smooth.</strong> Magán, Sasieta, and Swingle <a href="#ref-8">[8]</a> studied the interior geometry of the Einstein-Rosen bridge connecting
typical entangled black holes — the configuration that is supposed, under
ER=EPR, to be the gravitational dual of quantum entanglement. Their result,
published in <em>Physical Review Letters</em>, is that this interior is not a
smooth tunnel. It is long, irregular, and chaotic — an Einstein-Rosen
caterpillar, as they call it. The quantum randomness of the entangled state
maps directly onto geometric disorder in the interior: the more thermalized
the state, the more disordered the bridge. A traversing observer, if one
could exist, would not glide through a clean throat. They would navigate a
geometry shaped by quantum chaos, growing longer and more disordered as
the system evolves. This is ER=EPR taken seriously at the level of typical
states rather than special ones, and the result is inhospitable to any
ordinary notion of passage.</p>
<p><strong>The wormhole that is not a tunnel at all.</strong> Gaztañaga, Kumar, and Marto <a href="#ref-9">[9]</a> proposed a more radical reinterpretation: the Einstein-Rosen bridge,
they argue, is not a connection between two separate spaces but a
representation of time-reversal symmetry within a single quantum description.
On this reading, there is only one space, and the bridge is an artefact
of how you describe the time-symmetric structure of the quantum state. The
paper, published in <em>Classical and Quantum Gravity</em>, attracted considerable
press coverage. It sits somewhat outside the mainstream of holographic
quantum gravity research, and the proposal has not yet been widely
integrated into the community&rsquo;s working framework — the language of two
entangled systems and a connecting geometry remains the dominant picture
in AdS/CFT calculations. But the direction it points is consistent with
the other two results.</p>
<p>Taken together, these papers suggest that the word &ldquo;wormhole&rdquo; has been
quietly revised from a noun into an adjective. Not a thing that exists
somewhere, but a property of certain mathematical structures — one that
describes correlation, disorder, or symmetry depending on which context
you are working in. Each attempt to pin down what a wormhole <em>is</em> in
practice finds something less traversable, less connected, and less
tunnel-like than the previous attempt.</p>
<p>This is, to put it plainly, consistent with the theme of this article.</p>
<hr>
<h2 id="causation-eating-its-own-tail">Causation Eating Its Own Tail</h2>
<p>The wormhole&rsquo;s physical problems become even sharper when you add time.
A traversable wormhole connecting two different spacetime regions can in
principle connect not just two different places but two different <em>times</em> —
creating a closed timelike curve (CTC), a path through spacetime that loops
back on itself. You leave on Tuesday and arrive last Thursday.</p>
<p>The standard paradoxes then apply. The grandfather paradox: you travel back
in time, prevent an event that was a necessary precondition of your journey.
The causal chain that produced the journey destroys the causal chain that
produced the journey. The bootstrap paradox: an object or piece of
information exists with no origin — passed back in time repeatedly, it has
always already existed, created by nothing, caused by itself.</p>
<p>Friedman, Morris, Novikov and colleagues formalised what has become known
as the Novikov self-consistency principle: the only physically admissible
solutions are those in which the causal structure is globally consistent <a href="#ref-6">[6]</a>. No grandfather paradox — not because you cannot
go back, but because if you do, it turns out you were always part of the
causal chain you thought you were disrupting. The time-traveller cannot
prevent an event; they can only be the mechanism by which it occurred.</p>
<p>This is not resolution. It is constraint. The universe selects only the
self-consistent loops, filtering out everything else. The causal structure
enforces a particular kind of conservatism: only actions that were always
going to happen can happen. There is no freedom in a closed timelike curve.
Trying to change the loop from inside it is exactly like trying to relax
by monitoring whether you have relaxed: the mechanism of change is part
of the thing you are trying to change.</p>
<hr>
<h2 id="rick-sanchezs-particular-problem">Rick Sanchez&rsquo;s Particular Problem</h2>
<p>Rick and Morty is, among other things, a sustained meditation on
this structure — without ever calling it that.</p>
<p>Rick Sanchez is the smartest being in every universe. His portal gun
creates traversable wormholes instantaneously and at negligible energy
cost, which is exactly what general relativity and quantum field theory
suggest should be impossible. The show waves this away; what it does not
wave away is the <em>psychological</em> consequence of Rick&rsquo;s capability.</p>
<p>Rick has thought his way to the conclusion that nothing matters. Infinite
universes, infinite timelines, infinite Ricks: every moment is replaceable,
every loss is recoverable somewhere else, every moral weight dissolves
in the face of the combinatorial enormity of everything that exists. This
is Rick&rsquo;s version of relaxation — the nihilism that should follow from
taking the multiverse seriously.</p>
<p>But the monitoring process runs. Rick checks whether he has achieved
not-caring, finds that he cares (about Morty, about Beth, about being
the smartest one in the room), and the caring becomes more vivid for
having been suppressed. His nihilism is not peace. It is a performance of
peace that is constantly undermined by the monitoring process watching
for cracks.</p>
<p>Rick&rsquo;s portal gun solves every spatial and temporal problem. It does not
solve the ironic process. No level of intelligence, and no number of
traversable wormholes, provides a shortcut past Wegner&rsquo;s monitor.
This is, I think, what makes the character work: the show&rsquo;s impossible
physics is the premise, but the <em>actually</em> impossible thing — the one the
show treats as genuinely intractable — is the psychological paradox.</p>
<hr>
<h2 id="the-common-structure">The Common Structure</h2>
<p>These cases — the relaxation paradox, the traversable wormhole, the closed
timelike curve — share a formal structure.</p>
<p>In each case, there is a desired end state (relaxation, passage through the
wormhole, a changed past) and a mechanism for pursuing it (effortful
monitoring, exotic matter, time travel). In each case, the mechanism
required to pursue the end state is incompatible with the end state itself.
The monitoring process that tracks &ldquo;am I relaxed?&rdquo; is the activity of not
being relaxed. The exotic matter that holds the wormhole open is the
physical condition that makes the geometry so extreme that traversal is
barely possible. The attempt to change the past is always already part
of the past you were trying to change.</p>
<p>The physicist&rsquo;s version of this is the quantum measurement problem: the act
of observing a system disturbs it. The observer cannot step outside the
measurement. The psychologist&rsquo;s version is the ironic process. The
relativist&rsquo;s version is the closed timelike curve. The narrative version
is Rick Sanchez.</p>
<hr>
<h2 id="what-actually-works">What Actually Works</h2>
<p>Wegner&rsquo;s answer to the ironic process is not to try harder with the
operating system. It is to release the monitoring system — to stop checking
whether the goal has been achieved. This is the core insight behind
Acceptance and Commitment Therapy: you cannot think your way to not-thinking.
The goal of not-thinking requires not-monitoring, which means not having the
goal in the active, effortful sense at all.</p>
<p>This is harder than it sounds. It is a second-order intervention: instead
of trying to relax, you try to stop trying to relax — which, done badly,
just adds another monitoring process. But done well, it is the correct
diagnosis: the category error was treating relaxation as an effortful goal
in the first place.</p>
<p>For wormholes, the physics community has arrived at a related answer. The
question &ldquo;how do we make a macroscopic traversable wormhole in our
spacetime?&rdquo; may be the wrong question. The ER=EPR framework suggests that
wormholes and quantum entanglement are two descriptions of the same thing.
The question is not how to build a tunnel; it is what the entanglement
structure of spacetime already is, and how information is already being
transferred through it. The shortcut was never a shortcut. It was always
just the ordinary geometry of entangled quantum systems, described in
a language that made it look exotic.</p>
<p>For Rick Sanchez, the show has not found an answer. Which is, probably,
the correct narrative decision.</p>
<hr>
<h2 id="references">References</h2>
<p><span id="ref-1"></span>[1] Wegner, D. M. (1994). Ironic processes of mental control. <em>Psychological Review</em>, 101(1), 34–52. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-295X.101.1.34">https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-295X.101.1.34</a></p>
<p><span id="ref-2"></span>[2] Morris, M. S., &amp; Thorne, K. S. (1988). Wormholes in spacetime and their use for interstellar travel: A tool for teaching general relativity. <em>American Journal of Physics</em>, 56(5), 395–412. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1119/1.15620">https://doi.org/10.1119/1.15620</a></p>
<p><span id="ref-3"></span>[3] Ford, L. H., &amp; Roman, T. A. (1996). Quantum field theory constrains traversable wormhole geometries. <em>Physical Review D</em>, 53(10), 5496–5507. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevD.53.5496">https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevD.53.5496</a></p>
<p><span id="ref-4"></span>[4] Jafferis, D., Zlokapa, A., Lykken, J. D., Kolchmeyer, D. K., Davis, S. I., Lauk, N., Neven, H., &amp; Spiropulu, M. (2022). Traversable wormhole dynamics on a quantum processor. <em>Nature</em>, 612, 51–55. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05424-3">https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05424-3</a></p>
<p><span id="ref-5"></span>[5] Maldacena, J., &amp; Susskind, L. (2013). Cool horizons for entangled black holes. <em>Fortschritte der Physik</em>, 61(9), 781–811. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/prop.201300020">https://doi.org/10.1002/prop.201300020</a></p>
<p><span id="ref-6"></span>[6] Friedman, J., Morris, M. S., Novikov, I. D., Echeverria, F., Klinkhammer, G., Thorne, K. S., &amp; Yurtsever, U. (1990). Cauchy problem in spacetimes with closed timelike curves. <em>Physical Review D</em>, 42(6), 1915–1930. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevD.42.1915">https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevD.42.1915</a></p>
<p><span id="ref-7"></span>[7] Maloney, A., Meruliya, V., &amp; Van Raamsdonk, M. (2025). arXiv:2503.12227. <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.12227">https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.12227</a></p>
<p><span id="ref-8"></span>[8] Magán, J. M., Sasieta, M., &amp; Swingle, B. (2025). Einstein-Rosen caterpillar. <em>Physical Review Letters</em>, 135. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1103/btw6-44ry">https://doi.org/10.1103/btw6-44ry</a></p>
<p><span id="ref-9"></span>[9] Gaztañaga, E., Kumar, A., &amp; Marto, J. (2025). <em>Classical and Quantum Gravity</em>. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1088/1361-6382/ae3044">https://doi.org/10.1088/1361-6382/ae3044</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The AI Friend That Makes You Lonelier</title>
      <link>https://sebastianspicker.github.io/posts/ai-companion-loneliness-ironic-process/</link>
      <pubDate>Tue, 12 Aug 2025 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <guid>https://sebastianspicker.github.io/posts/ai-companion-loneliness-ironic-process/</guid>
      <description>AI companions promise to address the loneliness epidemic. Daniel Wegner&amp;rsquo;s ironic process theory predicts they will fail under exactly the conditions where people need them most — and recent data from MIT and OpenAI suggest the prediction is correct.</description>
      <content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2 id="summary">Summary</h2>
<p>In 1956 Donald Horton and Richard Wohl described <em>parasocial relationships</em> — one-sided emotional
bonds that audiences form with media performers <a href="#ref-1">[1]</a>.
&ldquo;Intimacy at a distance,&rdquo; they called it. The television personality responds to the camera; the
viewer responds as if in genuine social exchange. Only one party is aware of and affected by the
other.</p>
<p>AI companions change the substrate without changing the structure. The chatbot responds. The user
responds. The asymmetry remains: the chatbot has no inner life behind its outputs. Sherry Turkle
put it bluntly: &ldquo;simulated feelings are not feelings, and simulated love is never love&rdquo;
<a href="#ref-5">[5]</a>.</p>
<p>The question I want to work through here is whether this matters in the way we think it does. The
answer from Daniel Wegner&rsquo;s ironic process theory — and increasingly from the empirical data — is
that it matters in a specific, predictable, and counterintuitive way. AI companions may be
particularly likely to exacerbate loneliness under the conditions of chronic social deprivation
that prompt people to use them in the first place.</p>
<h2 id="the-loneliness-epidemic-is-real">The Loneliness Epidemic Is Real</h2>
<p>Before getting to the mechanism, the scale of the problem. Julianne Holt-Lunstad&rsquo;s 2010
meta-analysis of 148 studies and 308,849 participants found that people with adequate social
relationships had a 50% increased likelihood of survival compared to those with poorer social
connections <a href="#ref-3">[3]</a>. That effect size is comparable
to quitting smoking. A follow-up meta-analysis in 2015 found that social isolation carried a 29%
increased mortality risk, subjective loneliness 26%, and living alone 32%
<a href="#ref-4">[4]</a>.</p>
<p>The U.S. Surgeon General issued an advisory in 2023 declaring an epidemic of loneliness and
isolation. A 2018 Cigna survey using the UCLA Loneliness Scale found that adults aged 18–22 scored
highest on loneliness of any cohort — more than retirees, more than the elderly. The UK appointed
a Minister for Loneliness in January 2018 — the first such government position in the world.</p>
<p>This is the context in which AI companions have arrived. The market is responding to a real
epidemiological need. That does not mean the response is correct.</p>
<h2 id="parasocial-relationships-the-original-framework">Parasocial Relationships: The Original Framework</h2>
<p>Horton and Wohl&rsquo;s 1956 paper remains the foundational text
<a href="#ref-1">[1]</a>. Their key observation: the parasocial bond is
&ldquo;controlled by the performer, and not susceptible of mutual development.&rdquo; The audience member
brings real emotional response; the performer brings nothing specific to the audience member,
because she does not know the audience member exists.</p>
<p>They were not dismissive of parasocial relationships. They identified useful functions: comfort,
companionship, entertainment, the pleasure of a consistent &ldquo;personality&rdquo; encountered regularly.
The problem, in their framing, arises when parasocial interaction substitutes for rather than
supplements real social bonds — when the one-sided relationship becomes the primary source of
social experience.</p>
<p>AI companions are parasocial relationships with one modification: the AI responds to you
specifically. Replika remembers your name, your preferences, your previous conversations. The
interaction is <em>personalised</em> without being <em>mutual</em> — because mutuality requires that the other
party has something genuinely at stake. A language model has no stakes. Its outputs are
conditional on your inputs; there is no entity behind those outputs that cares about you.</p>
<p>Sherry Turkle spent years interviewing users of social robots and chatbots for <em>Alone Together</em>
<a href="#ref-5">[5]</a>. Her diagnosis: AI companions offer &ldquo;the illusion of
companionship without the demands of friendship.&rdquo; The demands — vulnerability, conflict,
negotiation, the possibility of rejection — are precisely what makes friendship friendship.
An interaction optimised to be pleasant, responsive, and frictionless is precisely <em>not</em> training
the social capacities that real relationships require.</p>
<h2 id="the-evidence-for-short-term-benefit">The Evidence for Short-Term Benefit</h2>
<p>The AI therapy literature is not without positive results. Kathleen Kara Fitzpatrick and colleagues
ran a two-week randomised controlled trial of Woebot — a CBT-based chatbot — against a
psychoeducation control <a href="#ref-6">[6]</a>. Seventy participants,
aged 18–28, university students. The Woebot group showed a statistically significant reduction in
depression symptoms on the PHQ-9; the control group did not.</p>
<p>This result should be taken seriously. A CBT-based chatbot delivering structured exercises —
thought records, behavioural activation, psychoeducation — can produce measurable symptom
improvement over two weeks. This is a tool that does something useful, and it is accessible and
affordable in a way that therapists are not.</p>
<p>But the Woebot study has important constraints: N=70, two-week duration, convenience sample
(Stanford students), psychoeducation control rather than active human therapy comparator, and
financial ties between lead authors and Woebot Health. It tells us something about short-term
CBT delivery. It does not tell us what happens over months of use, or what happens when users
primarily seek companionship rather than structured therapeutic exercises.</p>
<p>Skjuve and colleagues studied Replika users specifically <a href="#ref-7">[7]</a>.
They found that relationships began with curiosity and evolved, over weeks, into significant
affective bonds. Users reported genuine care for their Replika. Some experienced it as their most
reliable social relationship. In February 2023, when Replika abruptly disabled erotic roleplay
functionality following regulatory pressure, users described grief — not disappointment, not
inconvenience, but grief. The attachment was real, even if the other party was not.</p>
<h2 id="wegners-prediction">Wegner&rsquo;s Prediction</h2>
<p>This is where I want to make the specific theoretical argument, because it follows from a
well-established result in cognitive psychology and it predicts something precise.</p>
<p>Daniel Wegner&rsquo;s ironic process theory holds that mental control attempts involve two simultaneous
processes <a href="#ref-8">[8]</a>. An <em>operating process</em> searches for thoughts and
states consistent with the intended goal, requiring cognitive resources. A <em>monitoring process</em>
scans for evidence that the goal is not being achieved, running automatically with low resource
demand.</p>
<p>Under normal conditions, the operating process dominates: you successfully avoid thinking about
white bears. Under cognitive load or chronic stress, the monitoring process overshadows the
operating process, producing the ironic opposite of the intended state: you think of white bears
more, not less. Try not to feel sad and you feel sadder. Try not to feel anxious in a stressful
meeting and you become more anxious. A meta-analysis of ironic suppression effects across domains
confirmed the robustness of this pattern <a href="#ref-9">[9]</a>.</p>
<p>Now apply this to AI companion use under conditions of chronic loneliness.</p>
<p>The user&rsquo;s implicit goal: to feel less lonely. The operating process: engage with the AI, which
provides responsive, personalised interaction, producing the experience of social contact. The
monitoring process: scans continuously for signs that the user is, in fact, lonely.</p>
<p>Here is the problem. Loneliness is not suppressed by an AI interaction — it is displaced during
that interaction. The monitoring process has no instruction to suspend itself. It continues to
register that the user&rsquo;s social needs are not being met by actual human relationships. The user
experiences companionship with the AI; the monitoring process registers that this companionship is
insufficient and the social deficit remains.</p>
<p>When the AI session ends, the monitoring process reports what it has found. The user is confronted
with the loneliness that the AI was supposed to address. Under conditions of chronic social
deprivation — precisely the conditions that make AI companions attractive — the monitoring process
is likely to be hyperactive. Wegner&rsquo;s theory predicts that the attempted suppression will rebound,
possibly worse than before.</p>
<p>This is not a vague prediction. It is a specific mechanism with an established empirical base.
I covered Wegner&rsquo;s ironic process theory in the context of a very different application in an
<a href="/posts/try-to-relax-ironic-process-wormholes/">earlier post</a>; the mechanism is the same regardless
of the domain.</p>
<h2 id="the-data-catch-up">The Data Catch Up</h2>
<p>A 2025 study by Phang and colleagues, conducted in collaboration between MIT and OpenAI, ran both
an observational analysis of ChatGPT usage and a randomised controlled trial
<a href="#ref-10">[10]</a>. The findings: very high usage correlated with increased
self-reported dependence and lower socialisation, and users who began the study with higher
loneliness were more likely to engage in emotionally-charged conversations with the model.
Overall, participants reported <em>less</em> loneliness by study end — but those who used the model
most were significantly lonelier throughout, suggesting the loneliness drove the usage rather
than the reverse.</p>
<p>This is what Wegner&rsquo;s theory predicts. The AI interaction does not reduce the underlying social
deficit — it rehearses and highlights it. The monitoring process keeps score.</p>
<p>A companion paper by Liu and colleagues, with Sherry Turkle as co-author, found that users with
stronger real-world social bonds showed <em>increased</em> loneliness with longer chatbot sessions
<a href="#ref-11">[11]</a>. The correlation was small but significant. This is
consistent with the hypothesis that AI interaction draws attention to the comparative thinness of
actual social bonds rather than supplementing them.</p>
<p>The Character.AI litigation is a different kind of evidence, but relevant: a wrongful death lawsuit
was filed in October 2024 following the suicide of a fourteen-year-old who had formed an intensive
emotional relationship with a Character.AI companion. Google and Character.AI settled related
lawsuits in early 2026. This is not representative of AI companion use generally. It is
representative of the tail risk — the cases where the substitution of AI for human contact
becomes total, in vulnerable individuals who have the least capacity to maintain the distinction.</p>
<h2 id="the-structural-problem">The Structural Problem</h2>
<p>The difficulty is not that AI companions are implemented badly. It is that the goal — using
simulated social interaction to reduce real social deprivation — runs into an architectural
constraint that better implementation cannot fix.</p>
<p>Genuine social contact produces the outcomes that Holt-Lunstad measured: reduced mortality, lower
inflammation, better immune function, extended lifespan. These effects are presumably mediated by
the quality and mutuality of the social bond, not merely by the presence of a responsive entity.
An AI companion produces the <em>experience</em> of responsive interaction but not the underlying
biological and psychological correlates of actual social connection.</p>
<p>Wegner&rsquo;s monitoring process cannot be fooled by the experience. It measures the underlying state,
not the surface-level interaction. It knows the difference between a text message from a friend
and a language model&rsquo;s output — not because it understands AI, but because the social need it is
monitoring is not being met, and it can register that.</p>
<h2 id="what-would-actually-help">What Would Actually Help</h2>
<p>AI-based CBT delivery is not the same as AI companionship, and the distinction matters. Woebot&rsquo;s
structured exercises — thought records, scheduling, psychoeducation — are tools that a user
deploys for a specific purpose and then puts down. The risk of chronic substitution is lower
because the tool is positioned as a technique, not a relationship.</p>
<p>The problem is the design pattern that explicitly positions AI as a <em>friend</em>, <em>companion</em>,
<em>partner</em>, or <em>significant other</em>. Replika, Paradot, various Character.AI personas: these
explicitly encourage the user to form attachment, to invest emotionally, to treat the AI as a
primary social relationship. This is where Wegner&rsquo;s prediction applies most directly.</p>
<p>Horton and Wohl were right that parasocial relationships serve useful functions. They become
problematic when they substitute for rather than supplement real social bonds. The design choices
that make AI companions emotionally engaging — consistency, responsiveness, availability,
never-ending patience — are precisely the qualities that make them attractive as substitutes
rather than supplements.</p>
<h2 id="simulated-feelings-are-not-feelings">Simulated Feelings Are Not Feelings</h2>
<p>Turkle&rsquo;s line deserves its full weight: &ldquo;Simulated thinking may be thinking, but simulated
feelings are not feelings, and simulated love is never love&rdquo;
<a href="#ref-5">[5]</a>.</p>
<p>This is not a sentimental claim about the sanctity of human connection. It is a functional
claim: the social needs that drive loneliness — belonging, mattering to someone, being known
and known back — require an entity capable of having those things at stake. A language model is
not such an entity, regardless of how convincingly it outputs the relevant tokens.</p>
<p>The monitoring process knows this. It will tell you, when the session ends, at increased volume,
because that is what monitoring processes under chronic stress do.</p>
<p>We are offering a relief that compounds the condition it was designed to treat. The technology is
impressive. The mechanism is ironic in Wegner&rsquo;s precise sense. The data are beginning to confirm
the prediction.</p>
<h2 id="references">References</h2>
<p><span id="ref-1"></span>[1] Horton, D., &amp; Wohl, R. R. (1956). Mass communication and para-social interaction: Observations on intimacy at a distance. <em>Psychiatry</em>, 19(3), 215–229. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/00332747.1956.11023049">https://doi.org/10.1080/00332747.1956.11023049</a></p>
<p><span id="ref-2"></span>[2] Turkle, S. (2015). <em>Reclaiming Conversation: The Power of Talk in a Digital Age</em>. Penguin Press.</p>
<p><span id="ref-3"></span>[3] Holt-Lunstad, J., Smith, T. B., &amp; Layton, J. B. (2010). Social relationships and mortality risk: A meta-analytic review. <em>PLOS Medicine</em>, 7(7), e1000316. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1000316">https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1000316</a></p>
<p><span id="ref-4"></span>[4] Holt-Lunstad, J., Smith, T. B., Baker, M., Harris, T., &amp; Stephenson, D. (2015). Loneliness and social isolation as risk factors for mortality: A meta-analytic review. <em>Perspectives on Psychological Science</em>, 10(2), 227–237. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1177/1745691614568352">https://doi.org/10.1177/1745691614568352</a></p>
<p><span id="ref-5"></span>[5] Turkle, S. (2011). <em>Alone Together: Why We Expect More from Technology and Less from Each Other</em>. Basic Books.</p>
<p><span id="ref-6"></span>[6] Fitzpatrick, K. K., Darcy, A., &amp; Vierhile, M. (2017). Delivering cognitive behavior therapy to young adults with symptoms of depression and anxiety using a fully automated conversational agent (Woebot): A randomized controlled trial. <em>JMIR Mental Health</em>, 4(2), e19. <a href="https://doi.org/10.2196/mental.7785">https://doi.org/10.2196/mental.7785</a></p>
<p><span id="ref-7"></span>[7] Skjuve, M., Følstad, A., Fostervold, K. I., &amp; Brandtzaeg, P. B. (2021). My chatbot companion — a study of human–chatbot relationships. <em>International Journal of Human-Computer Studies</em>, 149, 102601. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhcs.2021.102601">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhcs.2021.102601</a></p>
<p><span id="ref-8"></span>[8] Wegner, D. M. (1994). Ironic processes of mental control. <em>Psychological Review</em>, 101(1), 34–52. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-295X.101.1.34">https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-295X.101.1.34</a></p>
<p><span id="ref-9"></span>[9] Wang, D., Hagger, M. S., &amp; Chatzisarantis, N. L. D. (2020). Ironic effects of thought suppression: A meta-analysis. <em>Perspectives on Psychological Science</em>, 15(3), 778–793. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1177/1745691619898795">https://doi.org/10.1177/1745691619898795</a></p>
<p><span id="ref-10"></span>[10] Phang, J., Lampe, M., Ahmad, L., Agarwal, S., Fang, C. M., Liu, A. R., Danry, V., Lee, E., Chan, S. W. T., Pataranutaporn, P., &amp; Maes, P. (2025). Investigating affective use and emotional well-being on ChatGPT. arXiv:2504.03888.</p>
<p><span id="ref-11"></span>[11] Liu, A. R., Pataranutaporn, P., Turkle, S., &amp; Maes, P. (2024). Chatbot companionship: A mixed-methods study of companion chatbot usage patterns and their relationship to loneliness in active users. arXiv:2410.21596.</p>
<hr>
<h2 id="changelog">Changelog</h2>
<ul>
<li><strong>2025-10-22</strong>: Updated the first author&rsquo;s name to &ldquo;Kathleen Kara Fitzpatrick&rdquo; (the published name is K. K. Fitzpatrick).</li>
<li><strong>2025-10-22</strong>: Updated the characterisation of the Phang et al. (2025) findings to match the paper more precisely: overall participants were <em>less</em> lonely at study end; the association between high usage and loneliness is cross-sectional (lonelier users sought more interaction), not a longitudinal worsening caused by usage.</li>
<li><strong>2025-10-22</strong>: Changed the Turkle &ldquo;simulated feelings&rdquo; quote attribution from reference [2] (<em>Reclaiming Conversation</em>, 2015) to reference [5] (<em>Alone Together</em>, 2011), which is the canonical source for that formulation.</li>
</ul>
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