Two Routes to the Expansion Rate: The Hubble Tension Near 5σ

A local distance-ladder measurement and the value inferred from the cosmic microwave background under ΛCDM disagree by about 4.9σ for one widely quoted comparison. JWST has tested an important Cepheid-crowding systematic, while DESI finds a dataset-dependent preference for evolving dark energy that does not by itself resolve the Hubble tension. The remaining possibilities include unrecognised systematics and physics beyond the standard cosmological model.

16 February 2026 · 19 min · Sebastian Spicker